Ray Flowers

MLB/NFL Analyst      

Ray Flowers has been a full-time fantasy analysist for the last 16 years – who has done that? – spending all his waking hours breaking down baseball, football and even hockey back in the day. For the past seven years, since the first day of the channel, he’s been on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio six days a week spewing opinionated analysis with his co-host Kyle Elfrink on the SiriusXM Fantasy Drive (Sirius 210, XM 87). Known for his analytical approach, Ray eschews pitching and quarterbacks early in drafts and isn’t afraid to predict outcomes that go completely against the grain if the data leads him there. When he’s not slaying Twitter with wondrous responses filled with charm and snark, or winning FSWA Writing Awards, he can be found watching a superhero flick, taking a swim or pounding vodka Red Bull’s into the wee hours of the morning.


 DFS Hitting Breakdown - 4/19
Posted by Ray Flowers on Wednesday, April 19, 2017 - 16:57

A quick primer for the Hitting Coach piece that will appear seven days a week at Guru Elite. There will be a smattering of data, pertinent to setting your daily squad up. There will be ballpark data. Which parks favor what type of hitters? There will be some BvP data, and yes, it does matter. We will try to list some umpire data if there is anything significant to be gleaned from it. In the end, I’ll throw all the data into the hopper and try to come up with some solid daily advice on the men that swing the lumber.

BALLPARK DATA

2016 Ballpark Splits


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 Ray's Ramblings - Pitcher Report - 4/19
Posted by Ray Flowers on Wednesday, April 19, 2017 - 16:37

Chavez and Gonzalez are solid AL-only options. Happ and Sanchez are hurt. What is the outlook of each Jays pitcher. Morton throws hard. Good for him. Lynn is nearly all the way back from Tommy John surgery. Will it lead to success? Nova is at it again, and by that we mean he's wiping out batters with ease. Finally, the younger Ross is taking the bump for the Nationals. Severino and Snell, two young American League hurlers. One is on the way up, one on the way down. Pretty obvious call there, right? Finally, why do so many people have a fascination with Wright, the Red Sox knuckleballer. 


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 Weekly Catcher Review - 4/19
Posted by Ray Flowers on Wednesday, April 19, 2017 - 16:18

We’re only a week into the season, so it’s a bit dangerous to read too much into most of the data we have at our finger tips. That said, it’s never too early to start looking at the information that we do have. Every Monday I’ll do my best to take a look at the men who wear the tools of ignorance. We will take a look at catcher’s ability to slow down the running game, work with a pitching staff and help their hurlers by helping them out in the old pitch framing department.


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 Ray's Ramblings - Bullpen Review - 4/19
Posted by Ray Flowers on Wednesday, April 19, 2017 - 14:21

Every Thursday we publish our 2017 Closer Chart. That piece speaks to who is closing, and who are the next men up in the never-ending chain of relievers to turn to once there’s a needed change in the 9th inning. That article is narrow in its focus merely taking a look at the 9th inning. In what follows we will survey bullpens across the land. Which bullpens limit the homer? Which give up a ton of base hits? Which pens are struggling to keep inherited runners from crossing home plate? The Bullpen Review is your one stop shop to understanding which bullpens to target, and to avoid, when you’re setting your offensive lineup.

 

This article is written from the perspective of the HITTER.


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 Ray's Ramblings - Relievers & Goose Eggs
Posted by Ray Flowers on Tuesday, April 18, 2017 - 17:09

Nate Silver is a smart man. He cut his teeth in baseball before moving on to the world of politics with FiveThirtyEight. He still dabbles in baseball and recently he debuted a new measure to explain the success of relievers. Instead of just looking at saves – as if getting three outs with a 3-run lead is the same thing as needed to get three outs in a 1-run game – Mr. Silver has created a new measure he termed The Goose Egg. Let’s see what the new measure refers to.

A pitcher receives a goose egg effort for a clutch, scoreless relief inning.

  1. It’s the seventh inning or later;
  2. At the time the pitcher faces his first batter of the inning:
    1. His team leads by no more than two runs, or
    2. The score is tied, or
    3. The tying run is on base or at bat
  3. No runs (earned or unearned) are charged to the pitcher in the inning and no inherited runners score while the pitcher is in the game; and
  4. The pitcher either:
    1. Records three outs (one inning pitched), or
    2. Records at least one out, and the number of outs recorded plus the number of inherited runners totals at least three.

A player can earn more than one goose egg in an outing. As an example, if you pitch the 7th and 8th inning, in a two run game, and pitch two scoreless innings you get two goose eggs.


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