Vlad Sedler

MLB and NFL Analyst      

Vlad is one of the world's best high-stakes fantasy baseball and fantasy football players. A CDM Sports Hall of Famer, Vlad won the Football Super Challenge in 2013 and has won 17 of 38 high-stakes leagues he's entered since 2013. Nominated for the FSWA Football Writer of the Year award in 2015, Vlad has been writing about baseball and football for various outlets since 2010 and playing fantasy sports for over 20 years. Vlad qualified for the FanDuel baseball live final in 2016, finishing 10th out of 100, won the expert league Tout Wars H2H in his first year participating (2017) and is possibly the world's only Packers AND Raiders fan.


 Vlad's Values: Week 4
Posted by Vlad Sedler on Thursday, September 29, 2016 - 17:02

We’re moving into that part of the NFL season where prices are getting tighter across the board. It’s only natural. Yet, there are still some serious market inefficiencies to take advantage of, especially on DraftKings. Tommy G, Kevin Adams and Jeff Collins talked about some of them on the free Fantasy Guru Elite T&T Podcast. Specifically, 49ers back Carlos Hyde, for whom we actually witnessed a price decrease (down to $4200) after popping two TDs off in garbage time last week. A matchup with the slower-paced Cowboys should bode well for the bell cow back, and at that price, you can expect Hyde to be a very popular play in cash games and even tourneys.


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 Vlad's Values: Week 3
Posted by Vlad Sedler on Thursday, September 22, 2016 - 15:18

This time last week, the chalk was unbeatable. Everyone and their mothers gleefully sung the praises of a Giants stack as they attempted to cleverly build around the surefire combo of Eli and OBJ. After all, the Saints had just lost their best cornerback and were playing on the road. Their porous defense had been thoroughly abused over the last calendar year. And just to put the final hypothetical nail in the coffin, the last time these two teams faced each other, they combined for 100-plus points. And so on and so on.

But the chalk got crushed.

Tommy G told us he was going to fade Eli-OBJ this weekend, and it ended up being a gorgeous call. It doesn’t shake out that way every time, but if you avoided that duo and opted for a QB-WR stack with a solid floor like Newton-Benjamin or Palmer-Fitzgerald, you were in a great position over those with Manning (17 – 25%) and Beckham (35 - 45%). There was nothing secret about the CAR or ARI QB-WR1 combo. They just both happened to represent viable alternatives; both QB’s playing at home as favorites, with their most reliable go-to receivers.


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 Vlad's Values: Week 2
Posted by Vlad Sedler on Thursday, September 15, 2016 - 16:56

We’ve got ourselves another interesting slate here in Week 2. When don’t we, right? The chalk was evident before last week’s Monday Night Football games even concluded. The Giants and Saints combined for the third highest point total (101) of all time in that Week 8 matchup last season and Odell Beckham Jr. crushed the Saints for three scores. The Saints defense is still bad, but to make matters worse, they lost CB Delvin Breaux (broken fibula), and he is expected to be out for at least six weeks. The chalk is automatically laid out on the table, and it’s up to us to decide how to pivot in GPPs this week. One thought-process is to target the lesser-owned players in this game – perhaps using WRs Sterling Shepard or Victor Cruz or pass-catching RB Shane Vereen with Eli Manning if we think this will be another barn-burner. A more contrarian approach is to target Rashad Jennings who looked good last week, especially knowing that the Saints are susceptible to the run and the fact that Giants’ new head coach Ben McAdoo is a bit contrarian himself and may want to establish the passing game. This theory also accepts the idea that Drew Brees historically isn’t as effective on the road and that they may not be able to keep up with the Giants, potentially getting thwarted by their above-average defense.


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 Vlad's Values: Week 1 (Part 2)
Posted by Vlad Sedler on Friday, September 9, 2016 - 13:05

Be sure to check out Part One of my Week 1 breakdown (primer, QB, RB) before diving into the other positions below. If the bevy of QB and RB options for Week 1 weren’t enough to make you pull your hair out (if you still have any!), check out the receivers. For those not thinking twice and running a majority of their GPP lineups with Dak PresChalk and Spencer Ware, you will most likely have your choice of *almost* any three wide receivers (or four on DraftKings) that you like. This may be the only week of the season where you’ll see plenty of lineups out there with at least two of the big four: Antonio Brown, PIT (FD: $9.3k, DK: $9.8k), Odell Beckham, Jr, NYG (FD: $9.1k, DK: $9.3k), Julio Jones, ATL (FD: $9k, DK: $9.4k) and DeAndre Hopkins, HOU (FD: $8.4k, DK: $8.8k).


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 Vlad's Values: Week 1 (Part 1)
Posted by Vlad Sedler on Tuesday, September 6, 2016 - 14:33

The NFL season can’t arrive soon enough. After a summer of following training camps and a month of incessantly poring over DraftKings and FanDuel Week 1 salaries, the time has finally arrived. Welcome to my weekly Value Plays column where I’ll be identifying contrarian plays under 10 percent ownership worth considering for our GPP lineups. I’ve separated this week’s column into two parts. This is Part One covering QB and RB. Part Two tomorrow will cover WR, TE and DST.

Our goal will be to discuss the players that are a little off the grid. It’s easy to get locked in on specific players because of a good matchup. There are now hundreds of DFS sources and thousands of Twitter feeds that can lock specific plays in our heads without us actually sitting down and giving alternative options a fair shake. Of course, we’re talking specifically about GPP (guaranteed prize pool) tournaments, where it can pay to go against the grain in certain spots. Not contrarian just for the sake of being so, but contrarian for the right reasons. A lineup filled with these type of plays can lead to big losses or a quick redeposit. But the right contrarian plays interspersed with higher-owned players, i.e. high volume receivers with good QBs on teams that are slight underdogs or bellcow backs on teams that are favored, can help us strike the right combination and lift our bankroll.


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