Benny Ricciardi

All Sports Analyst      

2014 winner of the FSWA’s Baseball Article of the Year award. 2016 FSTA Winner for Radio Show of the Year for "On Target Fantasy". 2017 winner for Basketball Writer of the Year from the FSWA. Benny was a featured writer for the DraftKings Playbook, an on air talent for FNTSY Radio, a podcast host and writer for RotoWire, a daily fantasy expert at Scout Fantasy and one of the featured writers and webcast hosts at RotoCurve. He is a published author in the fantasy sports space and a journalist who has had articles picked up by the AP press and distributed through various news outlets around the country. He is a frequent guest on Sirius XM Fantasy and FNTSY Radio talking about both season long and daily fantasy sports topics. 


 By the Numbers - 6/4
Posted by Benny Ricciardi on Monday, June 4, 2018 - 10:59

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  • Julio Teheran v. Clayton Richard

Teheran:

  • Very severe splits for him favoring starts away from home
  • Very severe splits for him where he’s tough on righties and suspect v. lefties
  • Teheran has been more bad than good, but he faces a team without a lot of scary left-handed bats and he gets them away from home, so that is ideal for him
  • The Padres have the third lowest wRC+ score and the fifth highest K% against RHP
  • Throughout his career, Teheran allows a .270 wOBA with about a K per inning to righties
  • Lefties have a much lower strikeout rate down near the 6 K's per 9 range and he had a .340 wOBA with a .450 slugging
  • I like Teheran in this spot as it’s a favorable matchup and conditions for him to actually pitch well today

Padres: Eric Hosmer (Next best healthy bats are like Travis Jankowski and Franmil Reyes v. RHP) Jankowski would need the SBs and Franmil would probably need a HR for upside, but lefties do damage against Teheran, so it’s not out of the question

Richard:

  • Lacks K upside. Has finished many recent seasons below 6 K's per 9
  • Gives up just shy of a hit per inning and does walk a few guys
  • Splits are severe with him shutting down lefties, but giving up a .342 wOBA and .464 slugging this year to righties
  • He is an extreme groundball pitcher, especially to lefties. Righties to hit it in the air more and this year like most other, account for all the HRs he has allowed
  • One thing I like about him is that he does eat up innings. He tends to throw 100 pitches every time out
  • Atlanta has hit lefties very well this year, but losing Acuna hurts as the lineup gets less right-handed and the quality of bats diminishes a little. They have not hit them as well since he went out

Braves: Ozzie Albies, Tyler Flowers/Kurt Suzuki, Freddie Freeman (his numbers are still well above average in same-handed spots)


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 Benny's MLB By the Numbers - 6/3
Posted by Benny Ricciardi on Sunday, June 3, 2018 - 09:25

The 2018 Guru Elite MLB All-Star contest is open! Subscribe today and enter for your chance at the Grand-Prize: a trip to the All-Star game in Washington D.C!

BENNY RICCIARDI     

 

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles

Domingo German v. Alex Cobb


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 By the Numbers - 6/1
Posted by Benny Ricciardi on Friday, June 1, 2018 - 12:24

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  • Sonny Gray v. Andrew Cashner

NOTE: Game was rained out yesterday and the starters are scheduled to be the same as they were, so nothing really changes from the analysis

Gray

  • Gray has been very up and down all season. He has a solid start and follows it up with five runs in 5 innings. Just hasn’t been able to string it together consistently
  • Lacks big K upside. Always has too. He’ll get a couple Ks a game, but below a K per inning
  • Walks just shy of five per nine and gives up over a hit per inning
  • He does do a good job of not allowing homers and keeping the ball in the park
  • Gray is death by paper cuts. He just gives up walks and singles and doubles until the other team scores a few runs. It seems to be happening every day for him now

Orioles: Manny Machado (He’s the only one-off play, but stacking against Gray makes sense too. I would use Schoop, Jones, Mancini, and Maybe Davis who has been dreadful but is batting in the top part of the order still to break up all the righties they have)

Cashner:

  • He normally is not nearly as strikeout effective as he has been lately
  • He does no go deep into games. 5-6 innings is not only the norm for him but also close to his max
  • Both sides of the plate are getting on base against him as he has a WHIP over 1.60 to both. 
  • Lefties flash more power against him, probably because they also have a higher fly ball rate against him. He doesn’t allow tons of homers through
  • This is a tough lineup he faces here today and I’d much prefer the Yankees 

Yankees: Brett Gardner, Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez, Greg Bird, Neil Walker, Giancarlo Stanton


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 By the Numbers - 5/31
Posted by Benny Ricciardi on Thursday, May 31, 2018 - 11:27

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  • Sonny Gray v. Andrew Cashner

Gray

  • Gray has been very up and down all season. He has a solid start and follows it up with five runs in 5 innings. Just hasn’t been able to string it together consistently
  • Lacks big K upside. Always has too. He’ll get a couple Ks a game, but below a K per inning
  • Walks just shy of five per nine and gives up over a hit per inning
  • He does do a good job of not allowing homers and keeping the ball in the park
  • Gray is death by paper cuts. He just gives up walks and singles and doubles until the other team scores a few runs. It seems to be happening every day for him now

Orioles: Manny Machado (He’s the only one-off play, but stacking against Gray makes sense too. I would use Schoop, Jones, Mancini, and Maybe Davis who has been dreadful but is batting in the top part of the order still to break up all the righties they have)

Cashner:

  • He normally is not nearly as strikeout effective as he has been lately
  • He does no go deep into games. 5-6 innings is not only the norm for him but also close to his max
  • Both sides of the plate are getting on base against him as he has a WHIP over 1.60 to both. 
  • Lefties flash more power against him, probably because they also have a higher fly ball rate against him. He doesn’t allow tons of homers through
  • This is a tough lineup he faces here today and I’d much prefer the Yankees 

Yankees: Brett Gardner, Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez, Giancarlo Stanton


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 By the Numbers - 5/30
Posted by Benny Ricciardi on Wednesday, May 30, 2018 - 13:27

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  • Max Scherzer v. David Hess

Scherzer:

  • Elite strikeout upside (108 already in 71 innings of work)
  • He is a fly ball pitcher, he doesn’t give up a ton of homers, but it is the best way to get any runs against him
  • He is lights out to righties. They hit just .136 against him last year. Lefties are his weaker split, but he even holds them in the low .220-.230 range. He does give up most of the power he allows to lefties though
  • Scherzer’s numbers are sparkling again this year and he’s on his way to finishing as a contender for the Cy Young award again. He faces a righty-heavy lineup that has a high strikeout rate, so this is a great spot for him. I would not be shocked if a lefty tags him for a homer, but overall I expect another high K game going 7ish innings with very few negative events

Hess:

  • 4th start of his season after two solid outings against the Rays and one bad outing against the Red Sox. 
  • This was his first season in AAA and he pitched well down there at about a K per inning, allowing only 20 hits and 12 walks over 29 innings of work
  • Not known as a strikeout pitcher, even in AA where he was well below a K per inning
  • He was a fly ball pitcher in the minors, which is consistent with not giving up a ton of hits
  • He does have an elevated walk rate, which is a problem
  • He did a pretty good job of limiting home runs though. Only about 1 every 8 innings of work in AA. So far just 2 in 29 innings at AAA
  • Lefties are his weaker split, but the FB and HR upside play to both sides of the plate
  • The stack against him is definitely in play and I love the lefties as one-offs too

Nationals: Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, Matt Adams, Juan Soto


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