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 Tommy G's MLB DFS Plays - 6/26
Posted by Tommy G on Monday, June 26, 2017 - 17:27

 

TOMMY G      

 

I prefer torreyes as the punt over lin after looking into it more.

forgot sano and dozier on bvp list, excellent leverage play

 


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 MLB DFS Cash Game Breakdown - 6/26
Posted by Jeff Mans on Monday, June 26, 2017 - 16:58

If you are reading this, you are a Guru Elite subscriber. If you are a monthly MLB subscriber, you have to check out our MLB All-Star Game promotion. If you upgrade to the rest of the season package you will be entered into a drawing that consists of $20K in prizes including an all-expense paid trip to the All-Star Game in Miami next month. Face it, there is no way that any of you are leaving us anytime soon considering the talent and success we are having this season. So, save yourself some money and enter the contest so that we can show you our appreciation for being a Guru Elite subscriber. For more information check out the contest page.

Tonight is a small slate consisting of just six games. As I always say in these situations, there really is no such thing as a good cash game lineup tonight. That is not to say that many of you shouldn’t be playing in single entry 50/50’s anyways because there is no contest in DFS that allows for more winning than those. But this is a good night to take some of our cash game winnings and use them to try and hit a qualifier or GPP.


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 DFS Hitting Breakdown - 6/26
Posted by Ray Flowers on Monday, June 26, 2017 - 16:57

A quick primer for the Hitting Coach piece that will appear seven days a week at Guru Elite. There will be a smattering of data, pertinent to setting your daily squad up. There will be ballpark data. Which parks favor what type of hitters? There will be some BvP data, and yes, it does matter. We will try to list some umpire data if there is anything significant to be gleaned from it. In the end, I’ll throw all the data into the hopper and try to come up with some solid daily advice on the men that swing the lumber. BALLPARK DATA


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 DFS Pitching Breakdown - 6/26
Posted by Nick Rodriguez on Monday, June 26, 2017 - 16:56

Definitions For Advanced Stats:

K%:  Strikeout Percentage = Strikeouts / Batters Faced. A 20 K% is considered average for a pitcher. 27 K% is considered excellent and 15 K% is considered poor.

For hitters, it measures how often a hitter strikes out on a per plate appearance basis. 20.0 K% is considered average. 25.0 K% is considered poor for hitters (we like that when picking pitchers) and 12.5 K% is considered great (we don’t like that when choosing a pitcher.) However, when looking at an entire team’s K%, last year's average was 21.2 K%. The higher the number, the better, when you’re looking for a pitcher with upside.

BB%: Walk Percentage = Walks / Batters Faced. 7.7 BB% is considered average for a pitcher. The lower the better. 4.5 BB% is considered excellent and 8.5 BB% is considered poor.


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 By the Numbers - 6/26
Posted by Benny Ricciardi on Monday, June 26, 2017 - 14:01
 Tommy G's MLB DFS Plays - 6/25
Posted by Tommy G on Sunday, June 25, 2017 - 17:30

A FEW THINGS TO REMEMBER FOR THOSE OF YOU WHO ARE NEW TO THE MAFIA

 

I will try m put any updates on the article in RED at the top like I did for NFL, so make sure you check back periodically as lock approaches

 

As you all know, one of my strategies I use every night if I am going all in on a pitcher is to also put in what I call a “hedge team” where I stack AGAINST my main pitcher and pitch the popular pitcher I am FADING on a team.  I do this incase my pitcher implodes and the chalk hits, so i at least have 1 team still live.  It is a strategy everyone frowned upon when I started doing it 5 years ago, and now it is a popular strategy (pats self on back).


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 MLB DFS Cash Game Breakdown - 6/25
Posted by Vlad Sedler on Sunday, June 25, 2017 - 17:00

If you glance at starting pitchers and corresponding matchups on a slate and nothing sticks out to you, that’s usually a bad sign for cash games. Such is the case today where a dicey Michael Pineda is the most expensive pitcher on both FD (8.9k) and DK (11.7k). There’s nothing wrong with dialing down cash game exposure and saving bankroll for slates you feel more comfortable with. Though we have many games with double-digit implied run totals, we don’t have a high number of gas can pitchers. What we do have is several guys who are highly volatile from start to start (Pineda, Francisco Liriano, Derek Holland, Julio Teheran). It’s a good day for GPPs and to stack up some offenses in warm weather.


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 By the Numbers - Late Slate - 6/25
Posted by Benny Ricciardi on Sunday, June 25, 2017 - 11:33

New York Mets @ San Francisco Giants

Vegas: Giants -145, 9

Rafael Montero v. Matt Moore

Montero: He gets a spot start here with Wheeler out of commission. Montero has been pitching mostly out of the bullpen and not doing it well this year. Between the 36 hits and 19 walks in 26 innings of work, his WHIP is nearing 2 and the ERA from all those baserunners is over 6. He does have K per inning upside, but who cares if you are giving up this many negative events. Both sides of the plate hit him well with big averages over ,300 this year and bigger OBPs due to the walks. It is not an ideal spot.


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 By the Numbers - Early Slate - 6/25
Posted by Benny Ricciardi on Sunday, June 25, 2017 - 09:54

Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays

Vegas: Rays -160, 9.5

Chris Tillman v. Jake Odorizzi

Tillman: He’s been a pile of hot garbage since coming off the DL. His best games were like 6 innings of three run ball. Lately though we have seen his worst. 5 innings of 5 or more runs consistently and that is bad. He got lit up for 9 a few starts back too, so he’s more gas can than anything else lately. His ERA is over 8, and I’ll take bats against any pitcher that putrid.

Rays: The Rays not only crush at home, but they crush righties in general. This is a great stack spot here. The big bat is Corey Dickerson and he has been elite this year. Logan Morrison is flashing the power too and Mallex Smith has been solid leading off. Include righties like Longoria and Souza and that is a high upside stacking a game Vegas has way too low a total in.


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 Tommy G's MLB DFS Plays - 6/24
Posted by Tommy G on Saturday, June 24, 2017 - 17:00

 

TOMMY G      

 

Tommy G’s DFS Plays are for the 7:15 PM Slate.

 

A FEW THINGS TO REMEMBER FOR THOSE OF YOU WHO ARE NEW TO THE MAFIA


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