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 Tommy G's MLB DFS Plays - 4/25
Posted by Tommy G on Tuesday, April 25, 2017 - 17:06

 

TOMMY G

 


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 MLB DFS Cash Game Breakdown - 4/25
Posted by Jeff Mans on Tuesday, April 25, 2017 - 16:58

We’re back at it today on an almost full slate of MLB games this evening. Last night the results were mixed in cash as really none of the pitchers worked out well. The Angels addition of Jesse Chavez replacing Ricky Nolasco proved to be a major difference maker for me in tournaments though as Ted & I finished third on the FanDuel Monster and a couple other smaller FD GPP’s as well.

Some of you were frustrated that the Chavez pivot was not marked here in the article and there are a few reasons for that. First of all, this is a cash game article and I was not touching Chavez in cash yesterday. Secondly, between the SiriusXM show and the livestream here on the site there is very little time to make wide spread adjustments on the article. Hopefully you guys are tuning into the livestream each day in order to get the latest information possible. Lastly, we discussed Chavez in the chat room before lock where me, Tommy G, Jeff Collins and Ted Schuster were all answering questions.

Tonight there are a lot of different ways to go in cash games. Don’t get overwhelmed with the amount of choices and instead stay focused on the goal of a 3x return on each player and on your lineup.


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 DFS Hitting Breakdown - 4/25
Posted by Ray Flowers on Tuesday, April 25, 2017 - 16:57

A quick primer for the Hitting Coach piece that will appear seven days a week at Guru Elite. There will be a smattering of data, pertinent to setting your daily squad up. There will be ballpark data. Which parks favor what type of hitters? There will be some BvP data, and yes, it does matter. We will try to list some umpire data if there is anything significant to be gleaned from it. In the end, I’ll throw all the data into the hopper and try to come up with some solid daily advice on the men that swing the lumber.

 

BALLPARK DATA

2016 Ballpark Splits


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 DFS Pitching Breakdown - 4/25
Posted by Benny Ricciardi on Tuesday, April 25, 2017 - 16:56

High End Clayton Kershaw v. San Francisco - The Giants are a bottom 10 wRC+ team against left-handed pitching and the ballpark is pitcher friendly. Here’s the deal, Kershaw is expensive as hell and faces a bad team in a good pitcher’s park. The Giants do not have a high K%, but Kershaw is such an elite strikeout pitcher that I am not worried. With Bumgarner’s injury they also get a gas-can opposite him, so I am expecting run support. I prefer to pay the $12700 on FanDuel to the $14000 on DK, but am not going to argue with anyone who fits him in.


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 By the Numbers - Main Slate - 4/25
Posted by Benny Ricciardi on Tuesday, April 25, 2017 - 15:28

Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies Vegas: Even, 7.5 Wei-Yin Chen v. Vincent Velasquez Chen: His profile hasn’t changed in all the years he has been in the league. Chen is a league average pitcher and that isn’t a bad thing. It means he’s rarely a guy I want to use, but also rarely a guy who gets lit up. He’s lights out to his fellow lefties, but does give up a ton of hits and some power shots to righties.


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 MLB DFS Cash Game Breakdown - 4/24
Posted by Jeff Mans on Monday, April 24, 2017 - 16:58

I figure that I can lose the formalities now that we are over three weeks into the MLB season and my tenure here at Guru Elite. You know who I am and what this article is all about. I love how quickly many of you have caught on to the cash game concepts that we have been teaching here. If you haven’t found regular success yet please don’t freak out. It takes a while to build confidence in what you are doing each day. That is all that DFS really is honestly. It’s having the confidence to build a winning formula, then use it even when times are bad. We’re climbing that mountain folks, some just take a little bit longer.

Today we have a short slate but with nine games there are plenty of opportunities to build quality cash game lineups. Of course we have a Coors Field game and a Chase Field game which will get a lot of attention in a slate like this. Pitching isn’t great so we are forced into the hands of some early season risers that aren’t usually ideal for cash games. But remember, sometimes it is more about limiting risk than it is about securing tremendous upside.

Let’s get to the breakdown…   


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 DFS Hitting Breakdown - 4/24
Posted by Ray Flowers on Monday, April 24, 2017 - 16:57

A quick primer for the Hitting Coach piece that will appear seven days a week at Guru Elite. There will be a smattering of data, pertinent to setting your daily squad up. There will be ballpark data. Which parks favor what type of hitters? There will be some BvP data, and yes, it does matter. We will try to list some umpire data if there is anything significant to be gleaned from it. In the end, I’ll throw all the data into the hopper and try to come up with some solid daily advice on the men that swing the lumber.

BALLPARK DATA

2016 Ballpark Splits


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 DFS Pitching Breakdown - 4/24
Posted by Benny Ricciardi on Monday, April 24, 2017 - 16:56

Hey guys. The bosses asked me to handle the pitching article this week, so I am going to try to give it my touch and see how you guys like it. Feel free to leave feedback about things you like and don’t like about it so we can tweak it going forward. My hope is that this becomes a quick reference resource for you guys when making you pitching choices. I will go more in depth about profiles in the by the numbers article, so make sure to check that one out too.

High End Options:

Zack Greinke - I know everyone is scared of Greinke at home, but this matchup is too good to ignore. Greinke just went 8 innings of 5 hits, 1 walk, 1 run ball with 6 strikeouts against this lineup last week. Now it is a negative park shift, but I am counting on that keeping the ownership down. The truth is this Padres team is 24th against righties in wRC+. They also have a 23.4% K-rate which is almost 10% above league average. I can see Greinke matching the numbers from his last start with a few more strikeouts. I like the potential for run support from his offense to give him a win as well.


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 Tommy G's MLB DFS Plays - 4/24
Posted by Tommy G on Monday, April 24, 2017 - 14:26

TOMMY G


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 By the Numbers - Main Slate - 4/24
Posted by Benny Ricciardi on Monday, April 24, 2017 - 10:36

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Vegas: Cubs -117, 8

Brett Anderson v. Chad Kuhl

Anderson: Anderson has pitched very few innings the last few seasons. He has been around the league for awhile and the left-hander doesn’t have good strikeout stuff, but he’s an extreme groundball pitcher. He’s tough on fellow lefties. Right-handed bats always hit him for a higher average and more power. The Pirates are in the bottom third of the league for wOBA and wRC+ against left-handed pitching and they have a league average strikeout rate against lefties as well.


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