Hot and Cold: Week 23 Review

Posted on 2017-09-11 17:41 by Ray Flowers




Sample sizes matter an awful lot when it comes to the outlook of a player. Sometimes we allow players too much time to snap out of a slump. At other times, we buy into success too quickly. Each week we will take a look at the recent work on the diamond - one and two week intervals - to at least detail some of the recent success and struggles of both hitters and pitchers. If nothing else, the weekly Hot/Cold write will at least inform you were players value is in the short-term. We’ve forgotten the hot and cold starts of the season by now, at least we have in many instances. Let’s focus more on the here and now.


HOT HITTERS (last seven days)

Finallllllly... Carlos Gonzalez had a .676 wOBA with a massive .526/.625/1.105 line. Finally.

Eric Hosmer hit .538 for the week. That wasn’t as good as Joe Panik (.542). Carlos Santana and Alcides Escobar both hit .500.

C.J. Cron had a .333 average, though it was aided by a .583 BABIP.

Tucker Barnhart hit a homer, drove in eight and had a .444 wOBA.

Matt Chapman was on his game with two homers, six RBI and seven runs scored over seven games. Also had a 240 wRC+.

Boog Powell hit .435 with two homers, eight RBI and nine runs scored over seven games. Yes, he’s surging.

Michael Taylor went .409/.480/.955 with three homers, two steals and nine RBI over six games.

Nick Williams and Didi Gregorius both had 10 RBI. 


COLD HITTERS (last seven days)

Mark Trumbo had a .100 OBP, ahead of Adam Duvall and his .130 mark. Chris Taylor (.160), Jackie Bradley (.174) and Chris Davis (.190) all struggled to get on base.

Corey Dickerson had a 50.0 K-rate. Trevor Story was at 46.2, Domingo Santana (45.0), Scott Schebler (42.9) also posted horrific strikeout marks.

The following men didn’t have a single walk: Nick Williams, Scooter Gennett, Albert Pujols, Yadier Molina, Jean Segura, Matt Kemp.

Mark Trumbo, Jackie Bradley, Luis Valbuena, Salvador Perez and Mitch Moreland didn’t hit a single line drive. Jose Altuve hit one.

Cody Bellinger had a 59 percent ground ball rate.

Hunter Pence had a hard-hit ball rate of 9.1 percent, worst in baseball. Josh Bell had the highest soft hit ball rate at 47.4 percent. Ian Happ was second worst at 46.2, Brett Gardner 4th (39.1) and George Springer 6th (35.0).

Mike Trout had a .063 BBAIP as he hit only one line drive and had a 65 percent fly ball rate.


HOT HITTERS (last two weeks)

J.D. Martinez and Matt Olson led the way with eight homers. JDM had 16 RBI and 14 runs scored. Olson had 15 RBI and 11 runs scored.

The only man with 17 RBI was Kendrys Morales. Elvis Andrus had 16.

Mike Trout led the way with 15 runs, one more than JDM and two more than Brian Dozier and Jose Reyes.

Mookie Betts led all with six steals. That’s one more than Mike Trout and Jose Reyes.

Mike Trout was the leader with a .511 OBP. Carlos Santana wasn’t far behind at .500. Indians teammate Yandy Diaz got on base at a .490 clip.

Tim Anderson had two homers and three steals while batting .515. He was living off a .536 BABIP though.

Nick Castellanos had three homers, 13 RBI and hit .404 as he continues his late push.

Jose Martinez has been out of control with a .410-3-8-10 line over 13 games.

Albert Pujols has finally come alive. The last two weeks he drove in 15 runners while batting .409 with a .568 SLG.

Josh Reddick had only five runs scored, but he also drove in 14 runs while batting .417.


COLD HITTERS (last two weeks)

Josh Bell had a .574 OPS. Teammate Starling Marte had a .528 mark while Andrew McCutchen had a .557 mark.

Greg Bird had some moments. He also hit .179 with a .195 OBP.

Xander Bogaerts had three steals. He also hit .125 with a .186 wOBA.

Matt Davidson had one homer and five RBI with a .141 wOBA.

Steve Pearce didn’t have an RBI and had a .184 wOBA.

Pablo Sandoval hit .026 with a .094 wOBA. That’s nearly impossible to do.

Andrelton Simmons was rolling. Now he’s not. He didn’t have a homer, nary a steal, and posted a .518 OPS.

The following guy didn’t hit a homer: Ozzie Albies, Justin Upton, Eugenio Suarez, Rafael Devers, Alex Bregman, David Peralta, Andrew McCutchen, Jake Lamb, Xander Bogaerts and Ian Desmond.

HOT PITCHERS (last 30 days)


Martin Perez and Trevor Bauer both went 6-0. Patrick Corbin and Corey Kluber both went 5-1. Robbie Ray, Robert Stephenson and Luke Weaver all went 4-0.


Here are the ERA leaders the last month: Stephen Strasburg (0.51), Zach Davies (1.14), Luke Weaver (1.32), Robbie Ray (1.42), Taijuan Walker (1.63), Mike Clevinger (1.69) and Jake Arrieta (1.71).

Here are the WHIP leaders the last month: Stephen Strasburg (0.71), Robbie Ray (0.75), Luis Castillo (0.76), Corey Kluber (0.79), Carlos Carrasco (0.87), Lucas Giolito (0.91), Justin Verlander (0.91), Erasmo Ramirez (0.95).

Robbie Ray has an absurd 15.99 K/9 rate his last four starts. Chris Archer, arm woes and all, still had a 13.02 K/9, just ahead of Chris Sale (12.84), Brad Peacock (12.67) and Dylan Bundy (12.60). Others with a K/9 of 12: Luke Weaver, Charlie Morton, Luis Castillo and Kenta Maeda.

Three men walked less than one batter per nine: Carlos Carrasco (0.52), Jakob Junis (0.88) and Mike Leake (0.99). Stephen Strasburg just missed at 1.03 per nine.

Kyle Gibson has two starts this week. His last five outings he’s walked just 1.17 batters per nine and has a 0.29 HR/9 rate. Speaking of homers, Odrisamer Despaigne and Zack Davies didn’t allow a single home run.


COLD PITCHERS (last 30 days)

These guys just couldn’t keep anyone off base (WHIP): Jordan Zimmermann (2.24), Matt Gaza (2.18), Chris Flexen (2.04). Others with marks over 1.80, which means you should give serious thought as to whether starting any of them makes sense in September: Nick Pivetta, Sean Newcomb, Ian Kennedy, Daniel Gossett, Mike Fiers, Jameson Taillon.

These men had no shot at keeping the ball in the yard: Andrew Heaney (4.98), Ian Kennedy (3.60), Yovani Gallardo (3.15), Jeremy Hellickson (3.03), Jharel Cotton (2.93) and German Marquez (2.78).

The following arm couldn’t produce even a 1.00 K/BB ratio: Ty Blach, Matt Garza, Chris Flexen, Travis Wood, Odrisamer Despaigne. Jake Odorizzi (1.19), Hyun-Jin Ryu (1.25), Jameson Taillon (1.36) were also at scary levels.

Players with the highest hard-hit ball rate include Robbie Ray (45.5, second worst), Chris Archer (42.3, 4th), Marcus Stroman (40.5, 10th), Alex Wood (40.3, 13th), Madison Bumgarner (38.7, 15th).


Ray Flowers can be heard Monday-Friday, 8-10 PM EDT on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (Sirius 210, XM 87). You can also hear Ray Sunday nights at 8 PM EDT PM on the channel talking fantasy sports. Follow Ray’s work on Twitter (@baseballguys).