As a reminder, the table shows the Average FP of the kickers in each category. A “Win” is if the recommendation is right, relative to scoring 7 FP. For example, one kicker who rated as a “Marginal Start” last week scored over 7 FP, so there was one “win.” One “Marginal Start” scored under 7 FP, which was a “loss”, and none equaled 7 FP, which would have been a “tie.” Remember, a “Sit” kicker who gets less than 7 FP is a “win” for the system (one of those last week) and over 7 FP is a “loss” (one of those); a tie is a 7 FP day (none). For the playoffs, I’m skipping the seasonal record and missed kick sections. Last week’s comments I’ll start by just giving the fantasy points for last week’s kickers in my scoring system (end of the article):
Chief OLB Justin Houston (knee) is expected to practice Wednesday in prep for the Chiefs’ game against the Steelers, according to HC Andy Reid.
Cowboy DE Demarcus Lawrence (back) is expected to play in the Divisional Round against the Packers, according to owner Jerry Jones. It’s possible Lawrence will need surgery after the season, but he is planning on playing through his injury as of now.
Cowboy CB Morris Claiborne (groin) will play in the Divisional Round game against the Packers, according to owner Jerry Jones.
Falcon TE Austin Hooper (knee) is “trending in the right direction” for the Divisional Round, according to ESPN’s Adam Caplan.
Michael Crabtree finished as a WR2 or better (top-24) nine times in the 2016 fantasy regular season (Week 1-16).
Amari Cooper had just five WR2 or better finishes in 2016.
These are Latavius Murray’s last five snap-rates: 70%, 68%, 50%, 41%, and 30% (Week 17).
Here are DeAndre Washington’s snap-rates in the same span: 0% (healthy scratch), 3%, 16%, 33%, and 40%.
Connor Cook targeted ten different receivers on his 21 attempts against Denver, with Amari Cooper leading the team (5) and Michael Crabtree tied for second with Mychal Rivera and Clive Walford (3).
In the fantasy regular season (Week 1-16), the Texans ran the sixth-most plays/game (66.5).
In Week 1-16, Houston averaged 4.76 yards per offensive play. Only Los Angeles was worse (4.56 yards/play).
What’s more, the Texans’ averaged just 0.022 touchdowns per offensive play (last in the league).
When the Texans’ are at home and favored by Vegas (six game sample), Lamar Miller averages 17.53 PPR points/game on 109 total yards/game. Miller averaged just 11.12 PPR points and 78 total yards per contest in all other contests (eight game sample).
Oakland allowed the fifth-most yards per carry and ninth-most fantasy points per touch to opposing running backs in the 2016 fantasy regular season.
It’s amazing how quickly the regular season came and went. Time just flies, doesn’t it? For so many of us, football is our favorite DFS sport. There’s just nothing like spending a week reading, researching and constantly tinkering with different lineup combinations. We work hard and are occasionally rewarded. Even if you didn’t turn a profit this football season, those few sweet tastes of victory more than make up for those weekends of despair when it’s a half hour into the early games and all your players’ TDs were stolen by John Kuhn and his fellow vulturing brethren. Now that the postseason is here, it’s important to remember that the cream usually rises to the top. You won’t see many folks picking the Raiders, Texans or Dolphins to go very far this playoff season. It’s just so difficult it to win the big, important games without that perfect blend of skill and leadership at the quarterback position. Moreover, it’s that time of year for solid defensive units to build on their momentum from the regular season and play as if everything is on the line - because it truly is…on the line. DFS-wise, a four-game slate really helps us to focus on a select list of plays as we project how these games are going to flow. It’s usually not wise to get too cute with player selection. Sure, there may be some surprises this weekend like a Jalen Richard or Paul Richardson, but for the most part, we can expect each team’s best offensive weapons to be their team’s respective focal points. Our main concerns for Wild Card Weekend revolve around taking a stand on choices like: Beckham or Brown (or Jordy) To Bell or not to Bell Who is our favorite RB2? As has been the case for most of the season, building a lineup on FanDuel will be much easier than on DraftKings. Le’Veon Bell is $10,300 on both sites, but it feels difficult to build a well-balanced team around him on DK. Bell is an easy selection for DK cash games this week, but I’ll definitely look to build some more well-rounded GPP teams without him this weekend (very few, of course).
Kickers averaged a poor 6.7 FP in Week 17. The system did okay. "Marginal Starts" had the highest average FP at 7.8 and a mediocre winning percentage at .583, edging "Starts" at 7.7 FP with the same W-L record. "Neutrals" were at the 50-50 proposition level, with their average FP of 6.8 almost matching the overall average for the week, and just under a .500 W-L rate. "Sits" did poorly, scoring just 5.9 FP, resulting in a good W-L record for the week of .714.
For more on Daily Fantasy Sports and about Kevin Adams, read Adams’ Daily Fantasy Sports Glossary for a breakdown on all the terms used in this piece. In this quick hitter that will come out on Saturdays, I will give my optimal plays for your cash game rosters. I like to wait as long as possible to release so I can get Friday practice report data, movement in Vegas lines and game totals, and to gauge ownership percentage...