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 Tommy G's Wild Card DFS Rundown
Posted by Tommy G on Friday, January 6, 2017 - 22:11

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 @MagicSportsGuy's Cash Game Plays - Wild Card Weekend
Posted by Kevin Adams on Friday, January 6, 2017 - 21:51

For more on Daily Fantasy Sports and about Kevin Adams, read Adams’ Daily Fantasy Sports Glossary for a breakdown on all the terms used in this piece...


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 FantasyGuru's Wild-Card Stat-Pack
Posted by Graham Barfield on Friday, January 6, 2017 - 12:14

Raiders

Michael Crabtree finished as a WR2 or better (top-24) nine times in the 2016 fantasy regular season (Week 1-16).
Amari Cooper had just five WR2 or better finishes in 2016.
These are Latavius Murray’s last five snap-rates: 70%, 68%, 50%, 41%, and 30% (Week 17).
Here are DeAndre Washington’s snap-rates in the same span: 0% (healthy scratch), 3%, 16%, 33%, and 40%.
Connor Cook targeted ten different receivers on his 21 attempts against Denver, with Amari Cooper leading the team (5) and Michael Crabtree tied for second with Mychal Rivera and Clive Walford (3).
Texans

In the fantasy regular season (Week 1-16), the Texans ran the sixth-most plays/game (66.5).
In Week 1-16, Houston averaged 4.76 yards per offensive play. Only Los Angeles was worse (4.56 yards/play).
What’s more, the Texans’ averaged just 0.022 touchdowns per offensive play (last in the league).
When the Texans’ are at home and favored by Vegas (six game sample), Lamar Miller averages 17.53 PPR points/game on 109 total yards/game. Miller averaged just 11.12 PPR points and 78 total yards per contest in all other contests (eight game sample).
Oakland allowed the fifth-most yards per carry and ninth-most fantasy points per touch to opposing running backs in the 2016 fantasy regular season.


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 Vlad's Values: Wild-Card Weekend
Posted by Vlad Sedler on Friday, January 6, 2017 - 11:00

It’s amazing how quickly the regular season came and went. Time just flies, doesn’t it? For so many of us, football is our favorite DFS sport. There’s just nothing like spending a week reading, researching and constantly tinkering with different lineup combinations. We work hard and are occasionally rewarded. Even if you didn’t turn a profit this football season, those few sweet tastes of victory more than make up for those weekends of despair when it’s a half hour into the early games and all your players’ TDs were stolen by John Kuhn and his fellow vulturing brethren. Now that the postseason is here, it’s important to remember that the cream usually rises to the top. You won’t see many folks picking the Raiders, Texans or Dolphins to go very far this playoff season. It’s just so difficult it to win the big, important games without that perfect blend of skill and leadership at the quarterback position. Moreover, it’s that time of year for solid defensive units to build on their momentum from the regular season and play as if everything is on the line - because it truly is…on the line. DFS-wise, a four-game slate really helps us to focus on a select list of plays as we project how these games are going to flow. It’s usually not wise to get too cute with player selection. Sure, there may be some surprises this weekend like a Jalen Richard or Paul Richardson, but for the most part, we can expect each team’s best offensive weapons to be their team’s respective focal points. Our main concerns for Wild Card Weekend revolve around taking a stand on choices like: Beckham or Brown (or Jordy) To Bell or not to Bell Who is our favorite RB2? As has been the case for most of the season, building a lineup on FanDuel will be much easier than on DraftKings. Le’Veon Bell is $10,300 on both sites, but it feels difficult to build a well-balanced team around him on DK. Bell is an easy selection for DK cash games this week, but I’ll definitely look to build some more well-rounded GPP teams without him this weekend (very few, of course).


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 Wild-Card Kicker Recommendations
Posted by Mike Horn on Thursday, January 5, 2017 - 14:00

Kickers averaged a poor 6.7 FP in Week 17. The system did okay. "Marginal Starts" had the highest average FP at 7.8 and a mediocre winning percentage at .583, edging "Starts" at 7.7 FP with the same W-L record. "Neutrals" were at the 50-50 proposition level, with their average FP of 6.8 almost matching the overall average for the week, and just under a .500 W-L rate. "Sits" did poorly, scoring just 5.9 FP, resulting in a good W-L record for the week of .714.


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 Tommy G's Week 17 DFS Rundown
Posted by Tommy G on Saturday, December 31, 2016 - 19:54

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 @MagicSportsGuy's Cash Game Plays - Week 17
Posted by Kevin Adams on Saturday, December 31, 2016 - 19:53

For more on Daily Fantasy Sports and about Kevin Adams, read Adams’ Daily Fantasy Sports Glossary for a breakdown on all the terms used in this piece. In this quick hitter that will come out on Saturdays, I will give my optimal plays for your cash game rosters. I like to wait as long as possible to release so I can get Friday practice report data, movement in Vegas lines and game totals, and to gauge ownership percentage...


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 NFL Week 17 Cheat Sheet
Posted by Kevin Adams on Saturday, December 31, 2016 - 17:29

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 Playing the Percentages: NFL Week 17
Posted by Jeff Collins on Saturday, December 31, 2016 - 17:28

Below you will find some of the guys I’m considering playing at low ownership in tournaments (ownership % indicated next to DraftKings price-tag), along with some highly-owned players that I’m thinking about fading...


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 Vlad's Values: Week 17
Posted by Vlad Sedler on Saturday, December 31, 2016 - 09:16

This is probably the case with you as well as you dive into a slate. You know I’ve had my share of busts, but many of my value plays that have paid off here this season have been early-week gut feels that I essentially back-filled with data or an explanation on why they are strong plays. If you’ve played fantasy long enough, sometimes that strong gut feel on a player isn’t backed up data, or it’s a squeaky wheel that you just know is in prime position to bounce back. There’s a weekly flow that we can sometimes properly time – though it sometimes works against you. You and I don’t get it right all the time, but there’s a true difference between gut feels that are natural and ones that we’ve forced based on something we may have read in passing. Being able to distinctly differentiate these is key as there are truly only one or two genuine intuition-based plays within us on a weekly basis. After that, we’re just forcing it. They may not even come early in the week – perhaps it’s something you hadn’t thought about all week that comes to you on Sunday morning (ie, Dez Bryant for me twice this year).

Far be it from me to claim to be all-knowing, but it’s something that really works when my mind is clear and not heavily influenced from outside thoughts and ideas. I’ve been able to translate some of my season-long success in baseball and football over to DFS, but it’s a constant uphill battle that has as many bad days as good ones. The one thing that is for certain is I need to be in the right mindset to write and to build lineups. Doing so when the mind is not clear will usually lead to overthinking and forced decisions.


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