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 Vlad's Values: Week 13
Posted by Vlad Sedler on Friday, December 2, 2016 - 10:01

I can’t stress it enough. Tweaking and overthinking in DFS is the devil. There’s no worse feeling then seeing a player you liked on Wednesday and removed from your lineup Sunday morning score a touchdown at 1:04pm (10:04am PT). I nearly won a GPP over at Yahoo this week and ironically it was on a team I just ‘set and forgot’. Similar to when I won a GPP on FantasyDraft back in Week 4. And when I came within a few points of winning the Milly Maker two years ago – it was a weekend where I was on vacation with my newly-wed wife and I decided not to tweak a lineup I set that Thursday.

Meanwhile, on DK and FD, I hemmed and hawed, tweaked and tinkered all week, all the way up to the deadline – moving off players I liked that would have made it a decent day instead of a rough one. Though not much can be said about Brandin Cooks – I would have played him in that spot 10 times out of 10. Cooks will be covered by the Lions’ best cornerback, Darius Slay. Though as we’ve learned time and again, it takes just one play for a guy like Cooks with his 4.3 speed to make rostering him worth it. After expressing his frustration about not seeing any targets against the Rams, I think Brees makes a point to get Cooks the ball. Just keep in mind how many weapons the Saints have. Just an embarrassment of riches - we simply never know where the touchdowns are coming from.


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 Week 13 Kicker Recommendations
Posted by Mike Horn on Thursday, December 1, 2016 - 17:17

Courtesy FantasyGuru.com’s Mike Horn

Kickers averaged 6.6 FP, another bad week for them. The kicker algorithm followed the kickers. "Starts" were basically a random crapshoot, scoring an average FP of 6.7 and with a W-L record under .500. "Marginal Starts" remained a better choice, with an average FP of 7.3 that topped all four categories and a good W-L PCT of .667. "Neutrals had a good week in W-L (.682) although a mediocre average score (6.9). At least the algorithm got the "Sits" correct: they were bad at 5.2 FP, with none topping 7 FP:


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 Price vs. Projection: Week 13
Posted by Benny Ricciardi on Thursday, December 1, 2016 - 14:45

We are back again this week with Price vs. Projection for week 13 of the NFL season. We use the projections from our friends at FantasyGuru.com and crosscheck them against the DraftKings prices to find guys who project for 3X value or more. Those are the guys we feel have safe floors to use in our cash games this week. Here is what we found...


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 Targets and Touches: Week 12
Posted by Benny Ricciardi on Thursday, December 1, 2016 - 10:01

Subscriber Exclusive Content! Benny Ricciardi's Excel Spreadsheet consisting of every player's number of touches and targets from the previous week, as well as all weeks thus far!


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 Week 12 Snap Count
Posted by Ben Kukainis on Tuesday, November 29, 2016 - 16:43

Subsciber Exclusive Content! Each week I’ll be giving a full and complete list of snaps played at the RB, WR, and TE position. They are sorted by the percentage of team snaps played, not the raw snaps number. Also, be sure to read Benny’s NFL Targets and Touches article, released every Tuesday.


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 Week 12 Injury Roundup
Posted by Ben Kukainis on Tuesday, November 29, 2016 - 16:39

Courtesy FantasyGuru.com

 

Quarterbacks

Brown QB Cody Kessler (concussion) has been medically cleared and he resumed practice on Monday, according to the Akron Beacon-Journal.

Brown QB Robert Griffin III (shoulder, IR) has been cleared for full contact, according to ESPN. HC Hue Jackson wants to see him practice but it looks like RG3 will get the start if he looks healthy during the week.

Colt QB Andrew Luck (concussion) is expected to play Monday night in Week 13, according to colts.com.


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 Week 12/13 Monday/Thursday Options
Posted by Benny Ricciardi on Monday, November 28, 2016 - 14:33

Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles

Vegas: Eagles -4.5, O/U: 47.5

This is supposed to be the higher scoring and more offensive game of the two we have on this short slate. Green Bay is middle of the pack in terms of their pace of play and Philly is one of the slower teams in the league. This is a bump for the Philly offense and a slight downgrade for the Packers. Green Bay’s offense is currently ranked a respectable 12th in DVOA, but they face the top DVOA defense in the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles have been one of the best at limiting opposing quarterbacks fantasy scores and are pretty solid against running backs too. They are middle of the pack at stopping wide receivers and even that is still pretty good. There are no real weaknesses to exploit, but I would expect the Packers to have the most success when they do go to the air.


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 Benny's DraftKings 4X Value Matrix: Week 12
Posted by Benny Ricciardi on Sunday, November 27, 2016 - 09:27

As you can see, I tried to narrow the list down a little more. I have a lot of names on the fringe, but you have to get the list down to a manageable level to cover as many combinations of these plays as you can. What I noticed this week is that I do not have huge exposure to any of them really. I have a lot of lineups this week. I’m going to enter a bunch of lineups into some smaller stakes tournaments as opposed to a few in the higher buy in ones like I usually do. The reason is that I like a lot of guys this week and game stack situations, so I am going to try to get exposure to all of them and mix in my top plays. Normally we talk a lot of strategies for guys who have a few lineups, but this one is going to be geared more for the multi-entry roster construction, since I think this is the week for it.


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 Tommy G's Week 12 DFS Rundown
Posted by Tommy G on Saturday, November 26, 2016 - 20:42

I just want to start by saying that I have never done more research than I have this week… I know we are 11 weeks in, but I just want to do a quick review of the season thus far. I know this is a “what have you done for me lately” league, but we can’t forget how we started and that this is a long season. The last 7 weeks have been more down than up, but I told you guys at the beginning of the season… I am a GPP player and out of the 17 weeks of the season, we only need like 4 monster weeks to smash the season (because on the monster weeks we are winning 3-5X and on a bad week we are losing 1X… do the math.) Unfortunately a lot of you LOVE the ballsy 5% owned calls that win us all the money (Julio, Ingram, Winston, etc.), but then you bitch when they miss… this is a marathon, not a sprint, and I have NEVER had a season in my life where we did not have extreme down periods, but you guys need to decide if you want consistency, or GPP upside… Kevin is the consistency guy with the cash game article… this article is the GPP upside article. I make calls that others are afraid to make and when we hit, we kill. When we miss, we get killed. I think we have just completed the death spiral and are about to close the season out like a boss! (Keep in mind, each of the last 3 years I started the season on fire, got cold (not this cold) and then finished the year with at least 1 $100,000 day in each of the last 3 years. Last year I had a 100k in Week 16 and another 90k day in the first week of playoffs. WE START STRONG AND WE FINISH STRONG… which is why I am hopeful this bullshit in the middle is behind us =). I am not making excuses here, I have not been good for the last month and a half… I will admit that… but hang tight guys, shit’s about to explode...


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 @MagicSportsGuy's Cash Game Plays - Week 12
Posted by Kevin Adams on Saturday, November 26, 2016 - 19:39

For more on Daily Fantasy Sports and about Kevin Adams, read Adams’ Daily Fantasy Sports Glossary for a breakdown on all the terms used in this piece.

In this quick hitter that will come out on Saturdays, I will give my optimal plays for your cash game rosters. I like to wait as long as possible to release so I can get Friday practice report data, movement in Vegas lines and game totals, and to gauge ownership percentage...


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