NFL Betting for the Sharp Bettor: Part 3

In this final instalment of my NFL betting series, we will go deeper into ways to find +EV bets for yourself. But first, a confession.

+EV Ain’t Easy

Loyal readers, I haven’t lied to you but I have misled you. I’ve been talking about +108 coin flips and 25 projected completions when the line is 23.5 as if they are everyday occurrences. The real truth is this – if someone offers you +108 on a coin flip, it’s most likely a weighted coin. If you have Tom Brady projected for 25 completions when the line is 23.5, your projections are most likely wrong. The simple reason is that every bet has two sides.

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