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 The Sweet Spot - Honda Classic
Posted by Taras Pitra on Wednesday, February 21, 2018 - 10:07
  • Sergio Garcia ($10,500 / $11,900): 30% exposure - Sergio’s more of a high floor, high ceiling play for me with the great history and the ability to win, plus he’s excellent in tough conditions. Let's just hope he can drop some putts this week. The wife is pregnant with their first, so he needs to do some damage before the baby comes.

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 European Tour - Qatar Masters
Posted by Taras Pitra on Tuesday, February 20, 2018 - 15:00

We’re back in the Middle East this week as the European Tour kicks off the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters. The names in the field aren’t what the European Tour would like, as many of their stars are in Florida for the Honda. This week we’re at Doha GC, a links layout (hard, bouncy fairways) which is susceptible to the elements...


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 Honda Classic
Posted by Taras Pitra on Tuesday, February 20, 2018 - 15:00

We leave the poa greens for Bermuda this week as we head to PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. Last year we saw Rickie Fowler’s strong tee to green game and putting at its finest and if I recall correctly, he wasn’t very highly owned. That won’t be the case this year as he’s the tournament favorite and has been mega chalk week in and week out since the end of last season...


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 The Sweet Spot - Genesis Open
Posted by Taras Pitra on Wednesday, February 14, 2018 - 10:45

DraftKings

>$10,000

In order, I like DJ, JT, Casey, Spieth & Rory. DJ is going to be massive chalk this week, but I don’t think it matters much especially if he wins by a large margin. JT comes in at a nice discount and should be able to go low this week. Casey never wins but is a solid play week in and week out. Spieth is still struggling with the putter and hasn’t fared well here in the past – ditto for Rory.

  • Dustin Johnson $11,700: 50% exposure - DJ’s still the play this week. He showed very few signs of rust last week and honestly, Potter played much better than him as he was able to take advantage of Monterey’s easier layout. This week things should get back on track for the betting favorite who is looking to defend yet another title. Strong play in all formats. 

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 NBO Oman Open
Posted by Taras Pitra on Tuesday, February 13, 2018 - 11:44

We have a new event this week on the European Tour as we head to Oman for the NBO Oman Open. The Challenge Tour has played on this course in the past, so you may see some players with course history down below. Note that these results were in Challenge Tour fields (which is basically what we have this week minus 5 golfers). The field is “star studded” with the likes of Andy Sullivan, Chris Wood, Beef Johnston and Alex Levy (insert eyeroll.gif). The course is a coastal links course, with one tree in play on the 8th hole, so we’ll be leaning on guys we know that have a strong penchant for links play. Two Par 5’s measure close to 600 yards, while the other two are relatively short (566y & 543y) and all but one of the Par 3’s are under 200 yards (one of them is an island green). The main defense for this course would appear to be the weather (winds coming off the Gulf of Oman/Indian Ocean), so keep that in mind when building your lineups. For more on the course, click here. Originally, I was thinking of throwing a few tournament lineups in, but the more I research, the more I think I’ll throw those same lineups in cash games this week because I can see a lot of our competition making mistakes.


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 Genesis Open
Posted by Taras Pitra on Tuesday, February 13, 2018 - 11:34

This week we stay in California for the last of the West Coast swing and head to Pacific Palisades and Riviera Country Club. The course features fairways & greens that are tough to hit and making sure you’re accurate with your long irons will be a key. Of course, with the greens being tough to hit, scrambling should be a key statistic to target this week as well as the usual SG: APP (or SG: Ball Striking), Par 4 Scoring and birdies or better. Even though the fairways are hard to hit, the rough is a non-issue to get out of, so targeting players who gain strokes off the tee is the preferred method this week (See former winners: DJ, Bubba x2). This is probably the first true “tough course” that the players have seen yet this season, so you should expect to see some higher scores (relative to par) and lower scores at the top of the DK leaderboard. One last thing about the fairways, they’re kikuya grass, which is the native grass in South Africa, I’d imagine the South Africans get a bit of a bump this week, as well as any Euros that don’t play over here too often.


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 The Sweet Spot - Pebble Beach
Posted by Taras Pitra on Wednesday, February 7, 2018 - 12:30
 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Posted by Taras Pitra on Tuesday, February 6, 2018 - 15:00

Buckle up for the longest tournament of the year. I’ll skip my rant on the three day Pro-Am, but it is worth noting that the players involved in this tournament have to hate this event even if they say they love it. DJ will be playing with Father in Law (I think he and Paulina are married, they could be still dating because I’m sure she’s keeping her options open long term), so he may be the exception...


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 The Sweet Spot - Waste Management Open
Posted by Taras Pitra on Wednesday, January 31, 2018 - 10:24

DraftKings

>$10,000

In order, I like Rickie, Hideki, Spieth, Rahm, JT. Rickie has the price break discount this week, which means he’ll probably be higher owned off the missed cut than he normally would be. Matsuyama has ruled this course for what seems like forever. Spieth has two Top 10 finishes in two appearances, but for some reason, this just doesn’t feel like a course that suits him. I’m still pretty pissed at Rahm for last week’s performance, but that doesn’t make him any less of a good play. He was 5th here as an amateur and placed worse in his first year as a pro. JT hasn’t had much luck here at all in several appearances so he’s an easy fade especially since he has no form coming in to speak of.

  • Hideki Matsuyama $11,400: 30% exposure - Hideki is the obvious chalk this week with the back-to-back wins and two other Top 5’s in his course history. In cash, I wouldn’t worry about his ownership and play him blindly. In GPP’s however, you’re probably going to have to draw a line in the sand as far as play or fade. As of writing, I’m torn because I want to play him, but the way he’s been playing isn’t really indicative as he played well for four days in Hawaii on Bermuda, and played like garbage in California on poa/Bentgrass.

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 Phoenix Open
Posted by Taras Pitra on Tuesday, January 30, 2018 - 13:30

Well the big news from last week is JB icing Noren on 18 Sunday. I’m looking ahead to the WMPO (where I’ll be stationed for the week as Super Bowl LII invades my workplace in downtown Minneapolis, yeah, I know – oh good for me). TPC Scottsdale has been the house that Matsuyama built since 2014 and seeing him shoot a Sunday low round of 69 means he’ll probably...


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