NASCAR Cup Series: Advance Auto Parts Clash at Daytona - 2/10

Posted on 2019-02-10 12:00 by Trevor Marcotte

 

TREVOR MARCOTTE      

 

QUICK FACTS

  • Daytona International Speedway
  • Sunday 2/10/19 - 3:00 PM
  • 2.5 mile, Paved

IT’S NASCAR TIME! Welcome back Mafia. First event of the year at Daytona International Speedway. This is just an exhibition event known as the Advance Auto Parts Clash. This is a non-points cash event for the drivers to kick off the 2019 season. Drivers who are eligible for this event are as follows: the 2018 Coors Light Pole Award winners, former Clash race winners, former Daytona 500 pole winners who competed full-time in 2018 and all 16 drivers from the 2018 Playoffs.

Starting position will be determined randomly by drawing numbers. The format is 75 laps split into two segments. A competition caution will take place on lap 25 to split the segments.

 

ELIGIBLE DRIVERS

2018 Pole Winners (13)

  • Ryan Blaney
  • Alex Bowman
  • Kurt Busch
  • Kyle Busch
  • Chase Elliott
  • Denny Hamlin
  • Kevin Harvick
  • Erik Jones
  • Kyle Larson
  • Joey Logano
  • Paul Menard
  • Daniel Suarez
  • Martin Truex, Jr.

Former Daytona 500 Champions (2)

  • Jamie McMurray
  • Ryan Newman

Former Daytona 500 Pole Winners (2)

  • Austin Dillon
  • Jimmie Johnson

2018 Playoff Drivers (3)

  • Aric Almirola
  • Clint Bowyer
  • Brad Keselowski

*Please note, this is an exhibition event and not a full field. I recommend not going heavy on this event and waiting until the following week for the first real race, The Daytona 500.

 

Let me give you guys a better idea of what we are gonna do here for NASCAR. We put out an early article with some track stats and what drivers I will have my eyes on, based on some numbers. Things can change once qualifying and practice are over. So then we put out an update with drivers who seem to be fast or have had a good or bad qualifying run. I put out a total of 12 drivers I like and a few who I am off. The guys I am off typically don’t run well at the particular track and have qualified in a decent position.

I am trying to narrow things down for you. Too much information can just be confusing. If you need more information, you can look at the projections tab and cheat sheet. Take a look at the scoring to better understand why I do it this way.

 

POINT SCORING

Drivers will accumulate points as follows:

  • Place Differential = +/- 1 PTs
  • Fastest Laps = +0.5 PTs
  • Laps Led = +0.25 PTs
  • Finishing Position Scoring (Winner 46 pts, 2nd 42 pts, 3rd 41, 4th 40, 39, 38, 37 etc…)

 

TRACK STATS

Let’s take a look at some of the track stats for the drivers in the Clash.

*Above are track stats for Daytona races for only the drivers who will be participating in the Clash.

 

PICKS

*PRICING IS PRETTY WEAK GUYS. YOU CAN GO ALMOST ANY WAY WITH YOUR LINEUPS. I WILL BE PLAYING 40 OR 50 LINEUPS, SO I WILL HAVE A PIECE OF ALMOST EVERY DRIVER.

TOP TIER

Kevin Harvick ($9,600) – A past winner of this event. Harvick knows his way around Daytona. Coming off a dominant year, I look for Harvick to be there at the end of this one with a chance to win.

Clint Bowyer ($8,700) – Fan favorite, Bowyer had a nice break out year last season and will be looking to get off to a quick start. Doesn’t have a win here yet but knows how to run out front at a plate race.

Brad Keselowski ($9,400) – Won the Clash last year. The Fords seem to be fast again this year. Look for him and Logano to work together and be there in the end.

Joey Logano ($9,200) – Fastest in first practice. Coming off winning the Championship. I will have a ton of Kes/Logano lineups. Working with other drivers is a way to win here at Daytona…Or at least have the opportunity to win, as anything goes on the final lap.

 

MID-TIER

Kyle Busch ($7,800) – I will be anchoring some lineups with Kyle and Harvick. The two best last year. Kyle can win or wreck trying. I am a fan!

Ryan Blaney ($8,000) – Comfortable with his new team Penske. Runs well at plate races. Has a top 5 and 10 here.

Martin Truex, Jr. ($7,000) – On a new team this year. Joe Gibbs Racing………LOL. Could be Truex, Busch all year long. If you don’t know, Gibbs is one of the top teams in NASCAR. Throw Truex as your driver….This is gonna be a fun year!

Kurt Busch ($7,300) – Won here before, 13 top 5’s. A vet at the plate tracks. I expect Kurt to find his way into the running at the end of this one.

 

SLEEPERS (Need to check starting position before you lock these guys in)

Austin Dillon ($5,400) – Won the 500 last year, running over Almirola for the win on the last lap…..Hey, that is what it takes sometimes at these plate races. So to say the least, if Dillon is in the position at the end, he can win it.

Jimmie Johnson ($6,300) – Running quick in practice. Well, JJ was pretty bad last year, at least by his standards. I am calling for a bounce-back year, and it starts Sunday night at the Clash. I expect a solid run.

Paul Menard ($5,800) – Running well in his recent races here at Daytona. 28th, 6th, 3rd and 5th in his last four. Starting year two with the Wood Brothers team. Could have a nice run on Sunday.

Alex Bowman ($6,800) – Guy who took over for Earnhardt Jr., and we all know this team can build a car for these superspeedways. He has been up and down here but always has a fast car. With a bit of luck, he could have that opportunity for the last lap heroics.

 

*There will not be a cheat sheet this week due to only 20 racers and we have gone over 12 in the article. Above are my favorites this weekend.

*Race Notes: Mafia, I can’t stress enough the race tonight is a bit of a crapshoot. With a field of only 20 drivers, many have the opportunity to win this thing. I expect things to get hairy at the end and a lot of different things can happen. A multi lineup approach will yield best results.

Good luck and make sure to let us know of any successful cashes!

 

As usual, if you have any questions, hit me up on Twitter @trmp31.